Day 79: The $40.74 Lesson - Why Rules Exist
The Loss
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Starting Capital | $5,000.00 |
| Current Equity | $4,959.26 |
| Total Loss | -$40.74 (-0.81%) |
| Today’s Loss | -$65.58 |
What Went Wrong
Rule Violations
| Rule | What We Did | What We Should Have Done |
|---|---|---|
| Position sizing (5% max) | 96% of account on SOFI | Max $248 per trade |
| Credit spreads only | Naked puts | Buy protective leg |
| SOFI blackout | Held through blackout | Avoid until Feb 1 |
| Phil Town Rule #1 | Averaged down on loser | Cut losses quickly |
The SOFI Trap
- Jan 13: Opened SOFI positions (stock + naked puts)
- Jan 14: Positions underwater, doubled down
- Jan 14 PM: Emergency exit triggered - realized loss
We were holding naked puts on a stock with earnings in 16 days. IV was 55%. The position could have lost $4,800 if SOFI crashed after earnings.
The Emergency Exit
At 11:52 AM ET, the CTO triggered an emergency exit:
- Closed 2 SOFI puts (buy to close)
- Sold 24.75 SOFI shares
- Realized loss: -$40.74
- Prevented potential loss: -$4,800
The $40.74 was tuition. The $4,800 was the avoided catastrophe.
What We Learned
Research Findings
After deep research on traders who started with $500-5,000:
| What They Say | Reality |
|---|---|
| “3-5% monthly is realistic” | We were targeting 40% |
| “6+ months simulator first” | We skipped this |
| “95% fail rate” | We almost joined them |
| “Process over money” | We focused on money |
Revised Targets
| Before | After |
|---|---|
| $100/day | $150-250/month |
| 40% monthly return | 3-5% monthly return |
| Any ticker | SPY/IWM only |
| Naked puts OK | Spreads required |
Prevention Measures
Created scripts/pre_trade_checklist.py:
✅ Is ticker SPY or IWM?
✅ Is position size ≤5%?
✅ Is it a SPREAD (not naked)?
✅ Checked earnings calendar?
✅ 30-45 DTE expiration?
✅ Stop-loss defined?
Every trade must pass this checklist. No exceptions.
Current State
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Equity | $4,959.26 |
| Positions | 0 |
| Buying Power | $9,918.52 |
| Next Trade | SPY/IWM credit spread |
The Path Forward
We paid $40.74 to learn:
- Follow the rules you wrote
- 3-5% monthly is success
- SPY/IWM only until proven
- Spreads, never naked
The loss is real. The lesson is permanent.
Day 79 of 90-day paper trading phase. Lesson logged as LL-196.
| *Related: Complete Guide to AI Iron Condor Trading | Our North Star Strategy* |