The Loss

Metric Value
Starting Capital $5,000.00
Current Equity $4,959.26
Total Loss -$40.74 (-0.81%)
Today’s Loss -$65.58

What Went Wrong

Rule Violations

Rule What We Did What We Should Have Done
Position sizing (5% max) 96% of account on SOFI Max $248 per trade
Credit spreads only Naked puts Buy protective leg
SOFI blackout Held through blackout Avoid until Feb 1
Phil Town Rule #1 Averaged down on loser Cut losses quickly

The SOFI Trap

  1. Jan 13: Opened SOFI positions (stock + naked puts)
  2. Jan 14: Positions underwater, doubled down
  3. Jan 14 PM: Emergency exit triggered - realized loss

We were holding naked puts on a stock with earnings in 16 days. IV was 55%. The position could have lost $4,800 if SOFI crashed after earnings.

The Emergency Exit

At 11:52 AM ET, the CTO triggered an emergency exit:

  • Closed 2 SOFI puts (buy to close)
  • Sold 24.75 SOFI shares
  • Realized loss: -$40.74
  • Prevented potential loss: -$4,800

The $40.74 was tuition. The $4,800 was the avoided catastrophe.

What We Learned

Research Findings

After deep research on traders who started with $500-5,000:

What They Say Reality
“3-5% monthly is realistic” We were targeting 40%
“6+ months simulator first” We skipped this
“95% fail rate” We almost joined them
“Process over money” We focused on money

Revised Targets

Before After
$100/day $150-250/month
40% monthly return 3-5% monthly return
Any ticker SPY/IWM only
Naked puts OK Spreads required

Prevention Measures

Created scripts/pre_trade_checklist.py:

✅ Is ticker SPY or IWM?
✅ Is position size ≤5%?
✅ Is it a SPREAD (not naked)?
✅ Checked earnings calendar?
✅ 30-45 DTE expiration?
✅ Stop-loss defined?

Every trade must pass this checklist. No exceptions.

Current State

Metric Value
Equity $4,959.26
Positions 0
Buying Power $9,918.52
Next Trade SPY/IWM credit spread

The Path Forward

We paid $40.74 to learn:

  1. Follow the rules you wrote
  2. 3-5% monthly is success
  3. SPY/IWM only until proven
  4. Spreads, never naked

The loss is real. The lesson is permanent.


Day 79 of 90-day paper trading phase. Lesson logged as LL-196.


*Related: Complete Guide to AI Iron Condor Trading Our North Star Strategy*